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Mutiny in Iraq
Can we please stop calling it a quagmire? The United States isn't mired in a bog or a marsh in Iraq (quagmire's literal meaning); it is free-falling off a cliff. The only question now is: Who will follow the Bush clan off this precipice, and who will refuse to jump? More and more are, thankfully, choosing
the second option. The last month of inflammatory US aggression in Iraq
has inspired what can only be described as a mutiny: Waves of soldiers,
workers and politicians under the command of the US occupation authority
are suddenly refusing to follow orders and abandoning their posts. First
Spain announced it would withdraw its troops, then Honduras, Dominican
Republic, Nicaragua and Kazakhstan. South Korean and Bulgarian troops were
pulled back to their bases, while New Zealand is withdrawing its engineers.
El Salvador, Norway, the Netherlands and Thailand will likely be next.
And then there are the mutinous members
of the US-controlled Iraqi army. Since the latest wave of fighting began,
they've been donating their weapons to resistance fighters in the South
and refusing to fight in Falluja, saying that they didn't join the army
to kill other Iraqis. By late April, Maj. Gen. Martin Dempsey, commander
of the 1st Armored Division, was reporting that "about 40 percent [of Iraqi
security officers] walked off the job because of intimidation. And about
10 percent actually worked against us."
And it's not just Iraq's soldiers
who have been deserting the occupation. Four ministers of the Iraqi Governing
Council have resigned their posts in protest. Half the Iraqis with jobs
in the secured "green zone"--as translators, drivers, cleaners--are not
showing up for work. And that's better than a couple of weeks ago, when
75 percent of Iraqis employed by the US occupation authority stayed home
(that staggering figure comes from Adm. David Nash, who oversees the awarding
of reconstruction contracts).
Minor mutinous signs are emerging
even within the ranks of the US military: Privates Jeremy Hinzman and Brandon
Hughey have applied for refugee status in Canada as conscientious objectors
and Staff Sgt. Camilo Mejia is facing court martial after he refused to
return to Iraq on the grounds that he no longer knew what the war was about
[see Christian Parenti, "A Deserter Speaks," at www.thenation.com].
Rebelling against the US authority
in Iraq is not treachery, nor is it giving "false comfort to terrorists,"
as George W. Bush recently cautioned Spain's new prime minister. It is
an entirely rational and principled response to policies that have put
everyone living and working under US command in grave and unacceptable
danger. This is a view shared by fifty-two former British diplomats, who
recently sent a letter to Prime Minister Tony Blair stating that although
they endorsed his attempts to influence US Middle East policy, "there is
no case for supporting policies which are doomed to failure."
And one year in, the US occupation
of Iraq does appear doomed on all fronts: political, economic and military.
On the political front, the idea that the United States could bring genuine
democracy to Iraq is now irredeemably discredited: Too many relatives of
Iraqi Governing Council members have landed plum jobs and rigged contracts,
too many groups demanding direct elections have been suppressed, too many
newspapers have been closed down and too many Arab journalists have been
murdered while trying to do their job. The most recent casualties were
two employees of Al Iraqiya television, shot dead by US soldiers while
filming a checkpoint in Samarra. Ironically, Al Iraqiya is the US-controlled
propaganda network that was supposed to weaken the power of Al Jazeera
and Al Arabiya, both of which have also lost reporters to US guns and rockets
over the past year.
White House plans to turn Iraq into
a model free-market economy are in equally rough shape, plagued by corruption
scandals and the rage of Iraqis who have seen few benefits--either in services
or jobs--from the reconstruction. Corporate trade shows have been canceled
across Iraq, investors are relocating to Amman and Iraq's housing minister
estimates that more than 1,500 foreign contractors have fled the country.
Bechtel, meanwhile, admits that it can no longer operate "in the hot spots"
(there are precious few cold ones), truck drivers are afraid to travel
the roads with valuable goods and General Electric has suspended work on
key power stations. The timing couldn't be worse: Summer heat is coming
and demand for electricity is about to soar.
As this predictable (and predicted)
disaster unfolds, many are turning to the United Nations for help: Grand
Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani called on the UN to support his demand for direct
elections back in January. More recently, he has called on the UN to refuse
to ratify the despised interim constitution, which most Iraqis see as a
US attempt to continue to control Iraq's future long after the June 30
"handover" by, among other measures, giving sweeping veto powers to the
Kurds--the only remaining US ally. Spanish Prime Minister José Luis
Rodríguez Zapatero, before pulling out his troops, asked the UN
to take over the mission from the United States. Even Muqtada al-Sadr,
the "outlaw" Shiite cleric, is calling on the UN to prevent a bloodbath
in Najaf. On April 18, Sadr's spokesman, Qais al-Khazaali, told Bulgarian
television it is "in the interest of the whole world to send peacekeeping
forces under the UN flag."
And what has been the UN's response?
Worse than silence, it has sided with Washington on all of these critical
questions, dashing hopes that it could provide a genuine alternative to
the lawlessness and brutality of the US occupation. First it refused to
back the call for direct elections, citing security concerns. In retrospect,
supporting the call back then might have avoided much of the violence now
engulfing the country. After all, the UN's response weakened the more moderate
Sistani and strengthened Muqtada al-Sadr, whose supporters continued demanding
direct elections and launched a vocal campaign against the US transition
plan and the interim constitution. This is what prompted US chief envoy
Paul Bremer to decide to take Sadr out, the provocation that sparked the
Shiite uprising.
The UN has proved equally deaf to
calls to replace the US military occupation with a peacekeeping operation.
On the contrary, it has made it clear that it will only re-enter Iraq if
it is the United States that guarantees the safety of its staff--seemingly
oblivious to the fact that being surrounded by American bodyguards is the
best way to make sure that the UN will be targeted. "We have an obligation
since [the attack on UN headquarters] last summer to insist on clarity
and on what is being asked of us," Edward Mortimer, a senior aide to Secretary
General Kofi Annan, told the New York Times. "What are the risks? What
kind of guarantees can you give us that we are not going to be blown up?
And is the job important enough to justify the risk?"
Even in light of that horrific bombing,
this is a stunning series of questions coming from a UN official. Do Iraqis
have guarantees that they won't be blown up when they go to the market
in Sadr City, when their children get on the school bus in Basra, when
they send their injured to a hospital in Falluja? Is there a more important
job for the future of global security than peacemaking in Iraq?
The UN's greatest betrayal of all
comes in the way it is re-entering Iraq: not as an independent broker but
as a glorified US subcontractor, the political arm of the continued US
occupation. The post-June 30 caretaker government being set up by UN envoy
Lakhdar Brahimi will be subject to all the restraints on Iraqi sovereignty
that sparked the current uprising in the first place. The United States
will maintain full control over "security" in Iraq, including over Iraq's
army. It will keep control over the reconstruction funds. And, worst of
all, the caretaker government will be subject to the laws laid out in the
interim constitution, including the clause that states that it must enforce
the orders written by the US occupiers. The UN should be defending Iraq
against this illegal attempt to undermine its independence. Instead it
is disgracefully helping Washington to convince the world that a country
under continued military occupation by a foreign power is actually sovereign.
Iraq badly needs the UN as a clear,
independent voice in the region. The people are calling out for it, begging
the international body to live up to its mandate as peacemaker and truth
teller. And yet just when it is needed most, the UN is at its most compromised
and cowardly.
There is a way that the UN can redeem
itself in Iraq. It could choose to join the mutiny, further isolating the
United States. This would help force Washington to hand over real power--ultimately
to Iraqis but first to a multilateral coalition that did not participate
in the invasion and occupation and would have the credibility to oversee
direct elections. This could work, but only through a process that fiercely
protects Iraq's sovereignty. That means:
Ditch the Interim Constitution. The
interim constitution is so widely hated in Iraq that any governing body
bound by its rules will immediately be seen as illegitimate. Some argue
that Iraq needs the interim constitution to prevent open elections from
delivering the country to religious extremists. Yet according to a February
2004 poll by Oxford Research International, Iraqis have no desire to see
their country turned into another Iran. Asked to rate their favored political
system and actors, 48.5 percent of Iraqis ranked a "democracy" as most
important, while an "Islamic state" received 20.5 percent support. Asked
what type of politician they favored, 55.3 percent chose "democrats," while
only 13.7 percent chose religious politicians. If Iraqis are given the
chance to vote their will, there is every reason to expect that the results
will reflect a balance between their faith and their secular aspirations.
There are also ways to protect women
and minority rights without forcing Iraq to accept a sweeping constitution
written under foreign occupation. The simplest solution would be to revive
passages in Iraq's 1970 Provisional Constitution, which, according to Human
Rights Watch, "formally guaranteed equal rights to women and...specifically
ensured their right to vote, attend school, run for political office, and
own property." Elsewhere, the constitution enshrined religious freedom,
civil liberties and the right to form unions. These clauses can easily
be salvaged, while striking the parts of the document designed to entrench
Baathist rule.
Put the Money in Trust. A crucial
plank of managing Iraq's transition to sovereignty is safeguarding its
national assets: its oil revenue and the remaining oil-for-food program
money (currently administered by the United States with no oversight),
as well as what's left of the $18.4 billion in reconstruction funds. Right
now the United States is planning to keep control of this money long after
June 30; the UN should insist that it be put in trust, to be spent by an
elected Iraqi government.
De-Chalabify Iraq. The United States
has so far been unable to install Ahmad Chalabi as the next leader of Iraq--his
history of corruption and lack of a political base have seen to that. Yet
members of the Chalabi family have quietly been given control in every
area of political, economic and judicial life. It was a two-stage process.
First, as head of the De-Baathification Commission, Chalabi purged his
rivals from power. Then, as director of the Governing Council's Economic
and Finance Committee, he installed his friends and allies in the key posts
of Oil Minister, Finance Minister, Trade Minister, Governor of the Central
Bank and so on. Now Chalabi's nephew, Salem Chalabi, has been appointed
by the United States to head the court trying Saddam Hussein. And a company
with close ties to Chalabi landed the contract to guard Iraq's oil infrastructure--essentially
a license to build a private army.
It's not enough to keep Chalabi out
of the interim government. The UN must dismantle Chalabi's shadow state
by launching a de-Chalabification process on a par with the now abandoned
de-Baathification process.
Demand the Withdrawal of US Troops.
In asking the United States to serve as its bodyguard as a condition of
re-entering Iraq, the UN has it exactly backwards: It should only go in
if the United States pulls out. Troops who participated in the invasion
and occupation should be replaced with peacekeepers--preferably from neighboring
Arab states--working under the extremely limited mandate of securing the
country for general elections. With the United States out, there is a solid
chance that countries that opposed the war would step forward for the job.
On April 25 the New York Times editorial
board called for the opposite approach, arguing that only a major infusion
of American troops and "a real long-term increase in the force in Iraq"
could bring security. But these troops, if they arrive, will provide security
to no one--not to the Iraqis, not to their fellow soldiers, not to the
UN. American soldiers have become a direct provocation to more violence,
not only because of the brutality of the occupation in Iraq but also because
of US support for Israel's deadly occupation of Palestinian territory.
In the minds of many Iraqis, the two occupations have blended into a single
anti-Arab outrage, with Israeli and US soldiers viewed as interchangeable
and Iraqis openly identifying with Palestinians.
Without US troops, the major incitement
to violence would be removed, allowing the country to be stabilized with
far fewer soldiers and far less force. Iraq would still face security challenges--there
would still be extremists willing to die to impose Islamic law as well
as attempts by Saddam loyalists to regain power. On the other hand, with
Sunnis and Shiites now so united against the occupation, it's the best
possible moment for an honest broker to negotiate an equitable power-sharing
agreement.
Some will argue that the United States
is too strong to be forced out of Iraq. But from the start Bush needed
multilateral cover for this war--that's why he formed the "coalition of
the willing," and it's why he is going to the UN now. Imagine what could
happen if countries keep pulling out of the coalition, if France and Germany
refuse to recognize an occupied Iraq as a sovereign nation. Imagine if
the UN decided not to ride to Washington's rescue. It would become an occupation
of one.
The invasion of Iraq began with a
call to mutiny--a call made by the United States. In the weeks leading
up to last year's invasion, US Central Command bombarded Iraqi military
and political officials with phone calls and e-mails urging them to defect
from Saddam's ranks. Fighter planes dropped 8 million leaflets urging Iraqi
soldiers to abandon their posts and assuring that no harm would come to
them.
Of course, these soldiers were promptly
fired when Paul Bremer took over and are now being frantically rehired
as part of the reversal of the de-Baathification policy. It's just one
more example of lethal incompetence that should lead all remaining supporters
of US policy in Iraq to one inescapable conclusion: It's time for a mutiny.
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